‘Avatar: Fire and Ash’ Tracking for Biggest Opening of the Year Latest Numbers Claim
Avatar: Fire and Ash is tracking for a massive opening at the global box office next weekend, with projections suggesting it could earn more than $400 million.
Analysts expect North America to contribute over $100 million, while China could bring in between $85 million and $100 million. The film is also set to have the biggest debut of the year in Germany and will become the highest-grossing imported film of 2025 in India.
AVATAR: FIRE ANS ASH is now tracking to earn $400M+ on its opening weekend at the global box office next weekend.
— Global Box Office (@GlobalBoxOff) December 12, 2025
This includes $100M+ from North America and $85M-$100M from China. In Germany, it’ll score the biggest debut of the year. In India, the biggest imported film of 2025 pic.twitter.com/1Lgj4wzu2t
Despite the strong projections, director James Cameron previously expressed some uncertainty about the movie’s performance. In a recent appearance on The Town with Matthew Belloni podcast, he shared his concerns about the current state of theaters and audience habits.
Cameron noted that fewer people are going to cinemas than before the pandemic, estimating attendance at about three-quarters of pre-pandemic levels. Streaming services, he added, have further changed the way audiences watch films.
Cameron also joked about “sequel fatigue,” saying that many viewers are cautious about follow-up films unless they feel deeply connected to the story. “People tend to dismiss sequels unless it’s the third Lord of the Rings film… but that may not be how the public sees it,” he said.
The director hinted at the high cost of making Fire and Ash without revealing exact numbers. “It is one metric f*** ton of money, which means we have to make two metric f**** tons of money to make a profit,” he said. Cameron believes the film will make money but emphasized that its success is key to deciding whether parts four and five will proceed as planned.
Avatar: Fire and Ash is the third installment in the franchise and was filmed alongside The Way of Water in New Zealand.
This world is much deeper than you imagine. Watch the brand-new trailer for Avatar: Fire and Ash and experience it in theatres December 19th.
— Avatar (@officialavatar) September 25, 2025
Also, don’t miss Avatar: The Way of Water back on the big screen in 3D for one week only, starting October 3rd. pic.twitter.com/nB5nOcrQMx
Production took years to complete, partly due to the development of new underwater performance-capture technology. The movie has faced several delays and is now set to premiere in December. Future sequels are tentatively scheduled for 2029 and 2031, but Cameron’s comments make it clear their fate depends on this film’s box office results.
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